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The Global Financial Cycle and Country Risk in Emerging Markets During Stress Episodes: A Copula-CoVaR Approach

dc.audienceResearcherseng
dc.audienceStudentseng
dc.audienceTeacherseng
dc.contributor.institucionBanco de la República - Colombiaes
dc.coverage.ciudadBogotáes
dc.creatorMelo-Velandia, Luis Fernando
dc.creatorRomero-Chamorro, José Vicente
dc.creatorRamírez-González, Mahicol Stiben
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-08T18:33:24Z
dc.date.available2023-05-08T18:33:24Z
dc.date.created2023-05-08
dc.description.abstractIn this paper,we analyze the tail-dependence structure of credit default swaps (CDS) and the global financial cycle for a group of eleven emerging markets. Using a Copula-CoVaR model,we provide evidence that there is a significant taildependence between variables related with the global financial cycle, such as the VIX, and emerging market CDS. These results are particularly important in the context of distressed global financial markets (right tail of the distributions of the VIX) because they provide international investors with relevant information on how to rebalance their portfolios and a more suitable metric to analyze sovereign risk that goes beyond the traditional CoVaR. Additionally, we present further evidence supporting the importance of the global financial cycle in sovereign risk dynamics.eng
dc.format.extent27 páginas
dc.format.mimetypePDF
dc.identifier.urihttps://repositorio.redinvestigadores.org/handle/Riec/128
dc.language.isoeng
dc.relation.ispartofDocumentos de Trabajospa
dc.relation.numberNo. 105
dc.relation.repechttps://ideas.repec.org/p/rie/riecdt/105.html
dc.relation.urihttps://repositorio.banrep.gov.co/bitstream/handle/20.500.12134/10620/be_1231.pdf
dc.rights.accessRightsOpen Accesseng
dc.rights.ccAtribucion-NoComercial-CompartirIgual CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
dc.rights.spaAcceso abierto
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/eng
dc.subject.jelG15 - International Financial Marketses
dc.subject.jelG17 - Financial Forecasting and Simulationes
dc.subject.jelC58 - Financial Econometricses
dc.subject.keywordGlobal financial cycle
dc.subject.keywordCountry riskeng
dc.subject.keywordCDSeng
dc.subject.keywordCopula-CoVaReng
dc.subject.lembCiclos financieros -- Mercados emergentes -- Modelo Copula-CoVaRspa
dc.titleThe Global Financial Cycle and Country Risk in Emerging Markets During Stress Episodes: A Copula-CoVaR Approaches
dc.typeWorking papereng
dc.type.hasversionPublished Version
dc.type.spaDocumentos de Trabajospa

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